Measles in the Post-COVID Era: Incidence Trends, Vaccination Coverage, Demographic and Subnational Distribution in Saudi Arabia, 2015–2024
Abstract
Background/Objectives: The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted routine immunisation globally. Saudi Arabia presents a unique epidemiological context for measles, combining high vaccination coverage with mass pilgrimages and a large expatriate workforce. This study examined measles incidence trends, vaccination coverage, and demographic and geographic burden distribution in Saudi Arabia (2015–2024), with comparative analysis against GCC countries, the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR), and global data. Methods: Annual incidence and vaccination coverage data were obtained from the WHO Global Health Observatory and WHO/UNICEF WUENIC; monthly, regional, age- and nationality-stratified data from the Saudi Ministry of Health Annual Statistical Book (2015–2024). Incidence was expressed per 1,000,000 population across three epochs: pre-COVID-19 (2015–2019), pandemic disruption (2020–2021), and post-COVID-19 rebound (2022–2024). Descriptive analyses included period means, percentage changes, rate ratios, and rate differences. Results: Pre-COVID-19 incidence (mean 19.7/1,000,000) remained below EMR and global averages. The pandemic produced near-complete suppression (−96.6% to 1.1/1,000,000 in 2020), exceeding global (−82.2%) and EMR (−61.2%) declines. A marked rebound occurred in 2023 (67.8/1,000,000), surpassing the pre-pandemic peak despite MCV1/MCV2 coverage above 96%. Non-Saudi nationals bore disproportionate burden in 2021 (20.7 vs. 1.1/1,000,000) and 2023 (70.4 vs. 64.8/1,000,000). Children under 15 accounted for 71.6–90.6% of annual cases, with the 5–
Fields of Study & Subjects
Virology and Viral Diseases
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
Immune responses and vaccinations
Publication details
- Journal / source
- Vaccines
- Publisher
- MDPI AG
- Volume
- 14
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 445–445
- Publication date
- 16 May 2026
- Language
- EN