Baseline Assessment of ESCALATE Zero-Emission Long-Haul Truck Demonstrations Regarding Total Cost of Ownership

The baseline assessment analysis for total cost of ownership of the pilot demonstrations of the ESCALATE project was carried out for four different powertrain configurations, dealing with modular and scalable powertrains for various vehicle configurations in long-haul trucking. The baseline TCO methodology and results for battery electric trucks (BETs), fuel cell electric trucks (FCETs) and FC range-extending BETs are analysed based on the final designs of the demonstrator vehicles and their foreseen pilot use cases and operational scenarios. As real operation data is not yet available, the analysis relies on energy use and pilot mission analysis through simulation. Overall, the TCO analysis shows several key factors affecting the relative competitiveness of the different zero-emission powertrains and vehicles. Long-haul operations pose clear challenges to vehicle design and long-range vehicles on single charge or refill show increased curb weight, limiting allowable payload due to GVW limits. The best payload capacity is shown for opportunity charging BETs and FCETs. BETs are generally the closest competitor to conventional trucks, but a key factor is the relative energy price difference between diesel, electricity (private or public) and hydrogen. Energy sourcing will be an important factor for end users to enable competitive shift to zero-emission options. Access to cheap private electricity or local green hydrogen may facilitate a choice between the options.