Predicting laboratory tests from patient generated health data could accelerate laboratory orders in the emergency department

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Authors: Adrian Schiegl, Kornél Ádám, András Gellért Barta, Ákos Sóti, Anna Stelkovics, László Vad, Péter Mendik, Bánk G. Fenyves, Csaba Varga
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Abstract

Overcrowding and diagnostic delays compromise patient care in the emergency department. This study investigates the use of machine learning to preemptively predict a broad set of laboratory test orders (CRP, Ddimer, GOT, NT-proBNP, PCT, hs-TnT) solely from patientreported data, collected via a digital symptom checker at a tertiary emergency department. Using random forests on our dataset consisting of 3925 patients, we found ROC-AUCs ranging from 0.74 (CRP) to 0.88 (GOT). The time from symptom check to test order (up to 6.5 hours) highlights the potential for saving considerable time. Early ROC curves showed that frequent tests like GOT performed well enough for preemptive ordering, while low-frequency, high-stakes tests, such as D-dimer and PCT may be better utilized as prompts for clinical decision-making. These findings show that data collected at triage time gained through a structured patient-reported questionnaire can offer a way to reduce the time-to-result and enhance ED efficiency.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare Machine Learning in Healthcare Emergency and Acute Care Studies

Publication details

Publication date
25 February 2026
Language
EN
Document type
Preprint