Forecasting Technological Progress
Abstract
After a brief history of technological forecasting, I synthesize our work at the Institute for New Economic Thinking over the last decade developing time series models for performance curves. I conclude with ongoing efforts and a research agenda.
Fields of Study & Subjects
Economic and Technological Developments in Russia
Publication details
- Journal / source
- SFI Press eBooks
- Pages
- 336–398
- Publication date
- 11 February 2026
- Document type
- Book chapter