Collated Distributions: A New Model for Infectious Disease Spread Using Early COVID-19 Data

A new modelling technique, Collated Distributions (CD), is presented, to model Infectious Disease Spread (IDS). This modeling shows that there are 3 probability distributions that one must determine to effectively manage public health, infectability, mortality and survival. Thus, leading to better understanding of Infectious Disease Spread (IDS). The Reproduction Model used in COVID-19 disease spread modeling is shown to be doubtful. Collated Distributions have implications in many other fields of study such as dissemination of knowledge, and the rise and fall of civilizations.