Optimal e-values for testing the mean of a bounded random variable against a composite alternative

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Authors: Sebastian Arnold, Eugenio Clerico
Cited by: 0

Abstract

We derive explicitly the e-values with optimal (relative) growth rate in the worst case for testing the mean of a bounded random variable, thereby providing the first application of the (RE)GROW quality criteria beyond the assumption of mutually absolutely continuous hypotheses for e-values originally proposed by Grünwald et al. (2024). For both criteria, we explicitly characterise the alternatives that are most difficult to test against and show that they admit a meaningful interpretation. We give two important examples in which REGROW provides a powerful quality criterion to choose optimal e-variables whereas GROW leads to trivial solutions.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Statistical Methods and Inference Probability and Statistical Research Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials

Publication details

Journal / source
arXiv (Cornell University)
Publication date
16 January 2026
Document type
Preprint