Robust SDE Parameter Estimation Under Missing Time Information Setting

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Authors: Long Van Tran, Truyen Tran, Phuoc Nguyen
Cited by: 0

Abstract

Recent advances in stochastic differential equations (SDEs) have enabled robust modeling of real-world dynamical processes across diverse domains, such as finance, health, and systems biology. However, parameter estimation for SDEs typically relies on accurately timestamped observational sequences. When temporal ordering information is corrupted, missing, or deliberately hidden (e.g., for privacy), existing estimation methods often fail. In this paper, we investigate the conditions under which temporal order can be recovered and introduce a novel framework that simultaneously reconstructs temporal information and estimates SDE parameters. Our approach exploits asymmetries between forward and backward processes, deriving a score-matching criterion to infer the correct temporal order between pairs of observations. We then recover the total order via a sorting procedure and estimate SDE parameters from the reconstructed sequence using maximum likelihood. Finally, we conduct extensive experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets to demonstrate the effectiveness of our method, extending parameter estimation to settings with missing temporal order and broadening applicability in sensitive domains.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Control Systems and Identification Gaussian Processes and Bayesian Inference Stochastic processes and financial applications

Publication details

Journal / source
arXiv (Cornell University)
Publication date
28 January 2026
Document type
Preprint