Identification of Child Penalties

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Authors: Dor Leventer
Cited by: 0

Abstract

A large literature estimates child penalties using event studies by gender, normalizing by predicted earnings absent children and reporting the gender gap. I formalize the design's identification assumption: normalized parallel trend violations are equal across genders, which I term normalized triple differences (NTD). Under NTD, the conventional target, the gender gap in normalized effects, is not identified when parallel trends fails. However, the effect of parenthood on the gender earnings ratio is point identified. Using Israeli administrative data, I find that parenthood's share of gender inequality varies by age at first childbirth.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Gender Labor and Family Dynamics Labor market dynamics and wage inequality Work-Family Balance Challenges

Publication details

Journal / source
arXiv (Cornell University)
Publication date
7 February 2026
Language
EN
Document type
Preprint