Mitigating the Likelihood Paradox in Flow-based OOD Detection: An Entropic Perspective

Deep generative models that can tractably compute input likelihoods, including normalizing flows, often assign unexpectedly high likelihoods to out-of-distribution (OOD) inputs. We mitigate this paradox from an entropic perspective with Semantic Proportional Entropy Manipulation (SPEM), a training-free procedure that applies stronger perturbations to inputs less similar to an in-distribution (ID) memory bank. We derive theoretical lower bounds showing that this entropy gap increases the expected log-likelihood difference in favor of the ID, and experiments on standard benchmarks show that this manipulation realigns the likelihood ordering with human intuition. Strikingly, this realignment persists even when the flow is given only visually meaningless noise instead of the original input, and we analyze this phenomenon theoretically to characterize the conditions under which it occurs.