Causal Discovery Should Embrace the Wisdom of the Crowd

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Authors: Ryan Feng Lin, Yuantao Wei, Huiling Liao, Xiaoning Qian, Shuai Huang
Cited by: 0
References: 8

Abstract

This paper argues for recognizing an emerging paradigm of causal learning by wisdom of the crowd. Recent developments in government, industry, and research point to the rise of decentralized and crowd-based approaches within causal modeling, where causal knowledge distributed across many contributors can be systematically elicited and integrated with causal learning workflows. In this paradigm, causal learning becomes a distributed decision-making problem: each participant contributes partial and potentially noisy knowledge, while collective contributions help construct a global causal structure. This direction is enabled by advances in crowdsourcing platforms, expert knowledge elicitation, aggregation techniques, and large language model (LLM)-augmented information acquisition. Its promise is increasingly visible in early research and emerging real-world practices. Building on this momentum, we outline a framework for crowd-based causal learning spanning elicitation, modeling, aggregation, and optimization. We further discuss the opportunities and challenges introduced by this paradigm and call for interdisciplinary collaboration across causal learning, collective intelligence, human-AI interaction, and decision science.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference Mobile Crowdsensing and Crowdsourcing Logic Reasoning and Knowledge

Publication details

Journal / source
arXiv (Cornell University)
Publication date
3 March 2026
Language
EN
Document type
Preprint