Comment on egusphere-2025-4716
Abstract
Abstract. We present an update to ECMWF's machine-learned weather forecasting model AIFS Single with several key improvements. The model now incorporates physical consistency constraints through bounding layers, an updated training schedule, and an expanded set of variables. The physical constraints substantially improve precipitation forecasts and the new variables show a high level of skill. Upper-air headline scores also show improvement over the previous AIFS version. The AIFS has been fully operational at ECMWF since the 25th of February 2025.
Fields of Study & Subjects
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
Hydrological Forecasting Using AI
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
Publication details
- Publication date
- 11 February 2026
- Language
- EN