A westward shift of heatwave hotspotscaused by warming-enhanced land–aircoupling
Abstract
Heatwaves pose serious risks to human health and lives, but how their occurrence patterns may change under global warming remains unclear. Here we reveal a systematic westward shift of heatwave hotspots across the northern mid-latitudes around the late 1990s. Both observational analysis and numerical simulation show that this shift is caused by intensified soil moisture–atmosphere coupling (SAC) in eastern Europe, Northeast Asia and western North America under recent background warming. The strengthened SAC shifted the atmospheric high-amplitude Rossby wavenumber-5 pattern westwards to a preferred phase position, which increased the probability of the occurrence of high-pressure ridges over these 3 hotspots by a factor of up to 39. Our results highlight the importance of SAC in shaping heatwave patterns and large-scale atmospheric circulation and challenge the conventional view that the land surface only passively responds to atmospheric forcing.
Fields of Study & Subjects
Climate variability and models
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
Hydrology and Drought Analysis
Publication details
- Journal / source
- EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts
- Publication date
- 13 March 2026
- Language
- EN