The potential of prompt elasto-gravity signals and graph neural networks for tsunami early warning

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Authors: Quentin Blétery, Céline Hourcade, Kévin Juhel, Gabriela Arias, P. Jarrín, Andrea Licciardi, Jean‐Paul Ampuero, Martin Vallée, Adolfo Inza
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Abstract

Prompt Elasto-Gravity Signals (PEGS) are light-speed gravity perturbations that can be recorded by broadband seismometers before the arrival of P waves. This characteristics has raised interest for potential early warning applications but the emerging nature of PEGS and their extremely small amplitudes (nm/s2) have challenged their operational use. We developed a deep learning approach to rapidly estimate the magnitude and location of large earthquakes from PEGS. In order to optimize the performances, we designed a graph neural network (PEGSGraph) capturing the geometrical information of the seismic network. This approach is not subject to saturation and can reliably estimate the magnitude of Mw ≥ 7.6 earthquakes within 2 minutes from initiation in Alaska, making it a viable solution for tsunami warning. We are currently testing possible implementations of PEGSGraph into the tsunami early warning systems of Peru and Alaska and including GNSS version in the deep learning framework.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Seismology and Earthquake Studies Earthquake Detection and Analysis Seismic Waves and Analysis

Publication details

Journal / source
EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts
Publication date
13 March 2026
Language
EN