Identifying dominant parameters in SWAT across subbasin and HRU scales using a two-step deep learning-assisted spatial sensitivity analysis

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Authors: Jing Yang, Jiangjiang Zhang, Tian Jiao, Yuanzhang Zhao, Manya Luo, Lei Wu, Ming Ye, Jinxi Song
Cited by: 1
References: 55

Abstract

Distributed hydrological models require sensitivity analyses that explicitly account for spatial heterogeneity, yet such analyses are often constrained by high computational demands. This study presents a two-step, deep learning-assisted spatial sensitivity analysis (SSA) framework to identify dominant parameters across multiple spatial scales. Using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) in the Jinghe River Basin as a case study, the Morris method was first applied with a spatially lumped strategy to screen influential parameters. Subsequently, SSA was conducted using the Sobol' method with multilayer perceptron (MLP) surrogates to evaluate parameter sensitivities under both subbasin- and hydrologic response unit (HRU)-scale parameterizations. The surrogate models emulated SWAT with high accuracy for 195 subbasin-scale and 2559 HRU-scale parameters, enabling efficient estimation of Sobol' sensitivity indices. Results reveal pronounced spatial heterogeneity in parameter sensitivities. Sensitivity hotspots are consistently concentrated in gauge-proximal subbasins, while HRU-scale analysis further resolves localized controls. Robustness analyses demonstrate that the identified sensitivity patterns remain stable across different performance metrics, NSE-constrained posterior parameter distributions, alternative observation configurations, and varying numbers of screened parameters. These findings confirm the reliability of the proposed two-step framework and highlight its capability to efficiently diagnose dominant hydrological controls in high-dimensional distributed models. The methodology provides a transferable and computationally feasible approach for sensitivity assessment, supporting scale-aware calibration and improving the interpretability and predictive reliability of distributed hydrological simulations.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies Flood Risk Assessment and Management Soil Moisture and Remote Sensing

Publication details

Journal / source
Hydrology and earth system sciences
Publisher
Copernicus GmbH
Volume
30
Issue
12
Pages
4095–4116
Publication date
30 June 2026
Language
EN