磁约束等离子体全局失稳周期的结构化预测报告/Structural Prediction of Global Disruption Cycles in Magnetically Confined Plasmas

中文: 本文提出一种针对磁约束等离子体(Tokamak / Stellarator)大尺度破裂(Major Disruption)的结构化预测框架。我们将全局失稳视为一种由非线性几何应力累积触发的结构相变,而非随机湍流或局域热噪声事件。通过引入归一化结构强度参数 \Gamma,我们给出失稳临界时间的尺度律、可观测的相位前兆,以及可在 2026 年实验窗口内直接检验的预测标准。 English: We present a structural prediction framework for major disruptions in magnetically confined plasmas. Global instability is modeled as a phase transition triggered by accumulated nonlinear geometric stress, rather than stochastic turbulence or local thermal fluctuations. A normalized structural intensity parameter \Gamma is introduced, leading to explicit scaling laws for the critical disruption time, observable phase precursors, and experimentally testable predictions within the 2026 window.