A Universal Three-Regime Instability Operator Across Complex Systems: EEG Seizure Precursors and Tokamak Plasma Transitions as Independent Testbeds (Helix–Light–Vortex / Spiral-Time Meta Framework)

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Authors: Marcel Krüger
Cited by: 0

Abstract

We formulate and apply a machine- and domain-independent instability operator ∆Φ designed to detect transitions between three generic dynamical regimes: (i) a stable baseline regime (isostasis), (ii) an adaptive metastable regime (allostasis / instability), and (iii) a critical collapse regime. The operator is constructed as a weighted aggregation of deviations along three independent axes: structural (S), informational (I), and coherence-related (C), with α +β+γ = 1. We first summarize an independent, fully reproducible EEG validation on public PhysioNet data (including CHB–MIT Scalp EEG), where elevated ∆Φ excursions precede seizure onset and yield strong predictive performance in a windowed pipeline. We then show that the same operator admits a natural instantiation in magnetically confined tokamak plasmas (JET / DIII-D / ASDEX Upgrade) using standard diagnostics, and we provide operational mapping tables and expected ∆Φ(t) families for L–H transitions, ELM-like bursts, and major disruptions. The results support the interpretation of ∆Φ as a universal instability indicator for open, non-equilibrium systems, and motivate systematic archival tests in plasma physics analogous to the EEG study.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Magnetic confinement fusion research Earthquake Detection and Analysis Statistical Mechanics and Entropy

Publication details

Journal / source
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Publication date
3 January 2026
Document type
Preprint