Why Uncertainty Cannot Be Governed After the Fact

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Authors: Rosie Jones
Cited by: 0

Abstract

This paper presents a negative result. In systems that operate under uncertainty, governance applied after execution cannot function as governance. Once a system has crossed a decision boundary and committed to action, no subsequent oversight, review, or accountability mechanism can constrain that action. This is not a failure of institutional will, ethical seriousness, or regulatory sophistication. It is a consequence of timing, causality, and information loss. By formalising uncertainty as an invariant feature of complex systems and execution as an irreversible commitment, the paper shows that governance applied downstream of execution is structurally non-binding. The result is an impossibility claim: uncertainty cannot be governed after it has already been acted upon.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Chaos Complexity and Education Regulation and Compliance Studies Complex Systems and Decision Making

Publication details

Journal / source
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Publication date
5 January 2026
Document type
Preprint