The Drake-Kuramoto Synthesis: Phase Transitions in the Emergence of Galactic Civilization Networks

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Authors: Ryuhei ISHIBASHI
Cited by: 0

Abstract

The Drake equation (1961) decomposes the question of extraterrestrial intelligence intoseven probabilistic factors, while reduction networks in nonequilibrium physics trace limitingprocedures connecting models of order formation. We propose a synthesis: each stage of theDrake equation corresponds to a phase transition in a reduction network, from cosmologi-cal structure formation through biological self-organization to social synchronization. Thisframework yields three novel contributions: (1) a physical interpretation of the Drake pa-rameters as critical thresholds in Stuart-Landau bifurcations, (2) an analysis of civilizationallongevity Lin terms of saturation parameter breakdown (β →0), and (3) a reformulation ofthe Fermi paradox as the question of why galactic-scale Kuramoto synchronization has notoccurred. We argue that the mathematics of emergenceattraction, instability, symmetrybreaking, saturationprovides a substrate-independent framework for understanding theconditions under which communicating civilizations arise and persist.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Earth Systems and Cosmic Evolution Space Science and Extraterrestrial Life Evolutionary Game Theory and Cooperation

Publication details

Journal / source
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Publication date
6 January 2026
Language
EN
Document type
Preprint