Predictive Use of a Universal Scaling Fingerprint

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Authors: Maxime Simeon Rerich
Cited by: 0

Abstract

A universal scaling fingerprint characterized by an approximately invariant quantityQ(m)=mΔ(m)≈2 has been observed across multiple unrelated domains.Here we explore a minimal predictive use: deviations from the invariant plateauserve as an early-warning indicator for impending regime change.We present a simple forecasting protocol based on tracking the stability of theQ(m) plateau over time and show how this converts a descriptive scaling signatureinto a falsifiable prediction rule.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Ecosystem dynamics and resilience Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling Data-Driven Disease Surveillance

Publication details

Journal / source
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Publication date
6 January 2026