Predictive Use of a Universal Scaling Fingerprint
Abstract
A universal scaling fingerprint characterized by an approximately invariant quantityQ(m)=mΔ(m)≈2 has been observed across multiple unrelated domains.Here we explore a minimal predictive use: deviations from the invariant plateauserve as an early-warning indicator for impending regime change.We present a simple forecasting protocol based on tracking the stability of theQ(m) plateau over time and show how this converts a descriptive scaling signatureinto a falsifiable prediction rule.
Fields of Study & Subjects
Ecosystem dynamics and resilience
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
Data-Driven Disease Surveillance
Publication details
- Journal / source
- Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
- Publication date
- 6 January 2026