Forecasting the Flame: Simulating Wildfire Trajectories in the Northeast Mediterranean

IMPORTANT: LPJ-GUESS GCM simulations in this version are deprecated. Version 2 is the current version for the GCM projections. However ERA5-Land simulations and the MODIS dataset in V. 1 are current. Simulation results for burned area and fire probability created in LPJ-GUESS simulations for the research article Forecasting the Flame: Simulating Wildfire Trajectories in the Northeast Mediterranean. The folder contains 3 datasets: LPJ-GUESS historical simulations with ERA5-Land, LPJ-GUESS future projections with five GCMs; ensemble median of burned area, fire probability and fire return period - deprecated, download V. 2 for the current version of these files MCD64A1 burned area dataset used in comparative analysis; FireCCI datasets (MODIS and Sentinel) which were used to assess observational uncertainty.