Future Commons and the Limits of Governance

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Authors: Yuichi SHINOZAKI
Cited by: 0

Abstract

Contemporary governance is increasingly expected to address long-term risks such as climate change, technological impacts, and responsibilities toward future generations. These expectations implicitly assume that the state functions as a subject capable of representing and improving the future. This paper questions that assumption by examining the temporal structure of governance grounded in social contract theory. The paper argues that social contract--based governance is structurally designed to represent the rights of present individuals and cannot treat the future as a governance object in the same way. To clarify this limitation, the future is reconceptualized as a \emph{future commons}: a set of shared conditions that change irreversibly over time, lack clear rights holders, and whose harms are delayed, dispersed, and often irreversible. Rather than proposing new principles of justice or institutional designs for representing future generations, the paper delineates the limited but coherent role that governance can assume with respect to the future commons. It argues that the state’s responsibility lies not in improving or managing the future, but in preventing irreversible closures of future possibilities through institutionalized non-governance. By clarifying the structural limits of governance over the future, this paper aims to release misplaced expectations and excessive delegation of responsibility, and to reframe the relationship between state governance and societal experimentation in addressing long-term risks.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Climate Change and Geoengineering Environmental law and policy Sustainability and Climate Change Governance

Publication details

Journal / source
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Publication date
9 January 2026