A diagnostic framework for backward reconstruction of deep-time Earth system histories

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Authors: Peter Brunzelle
Cited by: 0

Abstract

This paper presents a coherence-based diagnostic framework for backward reconstruction of deep-time Earth system histories. The approach integrates heterogeneous paleoclimate records into a minimal latent state and evaluates reconstruction consistency using coverage-weighted coherence metrics, smoothness regularization, and weak admissibility constraints. A fully reproducible Cenozoic demonstration (0–5.3 Ma) recovers canonical climate features while maintaining interpretable uncertainty under proxy sparsity. The framework is positioned as a synthesis and diagnostic layer that complements, rather than replaces, mechanistic Earth system models, and is designed to scale to deeper Phanerozoic timescales.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Geology and Paleoclimatology Research Climate variability and models Paleontology and Stratigraphy of Fossils

Publication details

Journal / source
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Publication date
11 January 2026
Language
EN
Document type
Preprint