THEORETICAL ANALYSIS OF THE POSSIBILITY OF REVOLUTION IN IRAN IN THE CONTEXT OF MODERN POLITICAL TRANSFORMATIONS

This article analyzes the socio-political instability and protest movements that have been taking place in Iran in recent years from the perspective of the possibility of revolution. Based on the experience of historical revolutions, the stability of the Iranian political system, the nature of the current protests, and the role of leadership and ideological factors are scientifically assessed. The impact of external political pressures and the national identity factor on revolutionary processes is also highlighted. The results of the study show that the possibility of a full-fledged revolution in Iran under current conditions is limited.