TOAD: Tipping and Other Abrupt events Detector

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Authors: Jakob S. Harteg, Lukas Roehrich, Kobe De Maeyer, Julius Garbe, Boris Sakschewski, Ann Kristin Klose, Jonathan F. Donges, Ricarda Winkelmann, Sina Loriani
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Abstract

First public release of TOAD (Tipping and Other Abrupt events Detector). This release provides a stable, citable version of the TOAD framework implementing: Grid-level abrupt shift detection Spatio-temporal clustering of co-occurring shifts Ensemble consensus clustering This version corresponds to the TOAD v1.0 description manuscript. --- Data This repository includes test data from the Antarctic Ice Sheet hysteresis simulations described in: Garbe, J., Albrecht, T., Levermann, A., Donges, J. F., and Winkelmann, R.: The hysteresis of the Antarctic Ice Sheet, Nature, 585(7826), 538–544, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2727-5, 2020. The simulation data is used here under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0). Any use of data derived from this source must include proper attribution to the original publication.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Ecosystem dynamics and resilience Climate variability and models Earth Systems and Cosmic Evolution

Publication details

Journal / source
Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK))
Publication date
20 January 2026
Language
EN