The Human Erasure Index (HEI): A Thermodynamic Framework for Socio-Economic Entropy and Demographic Collapse

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Authors: ALIBEK BEKZHIGITOV
Cited by: 0

Abstract

This paper introduces the Human Erasure Index (HEI), a novel macroeconomic indicator designed to quantify the thermodynamic cost of economic efficiency on human capital. While traditional metrics (GDP) measure system output, they fail to account for the biological and social "heat loss" occurring in developed economies. The HEI framework reinterprets the labor market through the lens of physics, applying the Joule-Lenz Law (Q = I^2 * R *t) to sociodynamics: Q (Social Entropy): The rate of human burnout, manifested as fertility collapse, mental health crises, and "deaths of despair." I (Labor Intensity): The increasing cognitive and temporal demand of "Greedy Work." R(Systemic Resistance): Structural friction caused by high debt-to-income ratios, housing unaffordability, and inflation. Methodology: Utilizing Principal Component Analysis (PCA) on OECD data (1990–2026), the study isolates the "Thermodynamic Cross"—the point where monetary liquidity fails to offset systemic resistance. The analysis identifies three global clusters of erasure: Cluster A (Biological Shutdown): Extreme fertility decline driven by high-voltage competition (e.g., South Korea). Cluster B (Asset Stagnation): Economic paralysis due to prohibitive housing costs blocking generational transition (e.g., Canada, Netherlands). Cluster C (Chemical Dissociation): The use of pharmaceuticals (antidepressants/opioids) to artificially sustain labor conductivity (e.g., USA, Scandinavia). Conclusion: The paper posits a shift from the Cartesian axiom "Cogito, ergo sum" to a new thermodynamic reality: "Laboro, ergo Evanesco" (I work, therefore I fade). The findings suggest that without reducing systemic resistance (R), increasing labor intensity (I) will mathematically result in the thermal death of the demographic host.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Sustainable Development and Environmental Policy Socioeconomic and Demographic Analysis Economic and Social Issues

Publication details

Journal / source
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Publication date
28 January 2026
Language
EN
Document type
Thesis