Fukushima as a Pattern: A Phenomenological Reconstruction of Organizational Collapse
Abstract
Classical reports on the accident at the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant (notably the findings of the Fukushima Nuclear Accident Independent Investigation Commission, NAIIC) emphasize its "man-made" nature using the language of causes, blame, and institutional failures. In this work, we apply the Phenomenological Reconstruction of Complex Systems PRCS) method to perform an epistemological shift: translating the investigation’s conclusions into the language of dynamic patterns and stable configurational invariants. We show that the accident was not a linear "chain of errors," but a phase transition within a pre-existing field of organizational patterns such as the "regulatory cartel" (R1) and the invariant "reactors will not be stopped" (R6). Through operational markup of the NAIIC’s Executive Summary, we construct a translation dictionary from causal language to pattern centric language. Formalizing the managerial logics of key actors as state tensors 𝑋(𝑙)𝑎𝑘 , we introduce a quantitative measure of the system’s structural risk 𝑅struct ∼ 𝑁eff/𝑑, where 𝑁eff the effective number of distinct managerial ontologies and 𝑑 is the dimensionality of the solution space. Using a mini-example of the management crisis during the decision to vent the containment, we demonstrate a jump in 𝑅struct, corresponding to the system’s transition into "schizophrenic" mode of operation with conflicting management ontologies. This work offers not a new interpretation of Fukushima, but a demonstration platform for the PRCS methodology, showcasing its potential for diagnosing risks in complex safety-critical systems.
Fields of Study & Subjects
Occupational Health and Safety Research
Risk and Safety Analysis
Risk Perception and Management
Publication details
- Journal / source
- Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
- Publication date
- 29 January 2026
- Language
- EN
- Document type
- Preprint