Codes and files related to Hainzl, Dahm & Tramelli (2026)

All files are related to the publication "A deformation-driven earthquake interaction model for seismicity at Campi Flegrei" by Sebastian Hainzl, Torsten Dahm, and Anna Tramelli, published in Communications Earth & Environment in 2026. The files include the following: (1) The input data used for calculations and plotting: - Earthquake catalogs: "campi-flegrei.kat" and "horus.kat" - Deformation data: "gps.dat" and "level-data.txt" - Precalculated results: "forwardsimulations.dat", "Nforecasts_T7d.dat", "Nforecasts_T30d.dat", "Mmaxforecasts_T7d.dat", and "Mmaxforecasts_T30d.dat" (2) Two Python codes for calculations: - parameter_estimation.py: Performs the maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters for all tested models - calculate_forecast_example.py: Calculates the forecasts for one exemplary parameter set and starting time. (3) Four Python codes for reproducing the figures in the manuscript (Figs.1-4) using the provided input data: "plot_fig1.py", "plot_fig2.py", etc.