Crowd-Based Dynamics (CBD)

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Authors: Wilson John Sterking Lauret
Cited by: 0

Abstract

This work introduces Crowd-Based Dynamics (CBD), a unified theoretical framework for the structural analysis of complex adaptive systems, including crowds, markets, social systems, biological collectives, and artificial intelligence architectures.Rather than modeling observable behaviors, opinions, or isolated events, the CBD framework formalizes endogenous structural laws governing accumulation, saturation, reversibility, stability, and irreversible transitions in complex systems. The paper consolidates and articulates the foundational laws of the CBD framework, including mimetic saturation, conditional reversibility, progressive loss of governability, and structural tipping thresholds. These laws are formulated as universal structural constraints, independent of empirical datasets, and applicable across multiple domains. The objective of this work is not event prediction, but structural comprehension of systemic trajectories, identifying internal conditions under which apparent stability becomes fragile, adaptive optionality collapses, and irreversible transitions emerge prior to any observable crisis signals. This article establishes the conceptual foundation of the CBD corpus and provides a coherent theoretical basis for analyzing fragility, endogenous governance, and tipping phenomena in complex adaptive systems.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Complex Systems and Dynamics Chaos Complexity and Education Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence

Publication details

Journal / source
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Publication date
9 February 2026