Falsifiable Predictions for the 3I/ATLAS Jupiter Encounter: Updated Analysis with Post-Perihelion Data

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Authors: Carlos Rodriguez
Cited by: 0

Abstract

Pre-registered analysis (v2.1) presenting five independently falsifiable predictions for the interstellar comet 3I/ATLAS Jupiter Hill sphere encounter on March 16, 2026. Key findings: Hubble HST nucleus diameter: 2.6 km (largest ISO observed) SPHEREx December 2025 outburst with organic molecules JWST MIRI methane detection suggesting layered interior Extreme CO2/H2O ratio of 7.6:1 (highest ever measured) Non-gravitational acceleration 89.3e-9 AU/day2 Five predictions with statistical rigor: Includes 4 figures, sublimation model, effect sizes, 95% CI, Bonferroni correction. This work addresses anomalies that challenge standard cometary models and provides testable hypotheses for the upcoming Jupiter encounter.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Astro and Planetary Science Stellar planetary and galactic studies History and Developments in Astronomy

Publication details

Journal / source
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Publication date
10 February 2026
Language
EN
Document type
Preprint