Scenario Compass Initiative - Pathways Ensemble 2025

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Authors: Daniel Huppmann, Keywan Riahi, Leon Clarke, Tomoko Hasegawa, Elmar Kriegler, Gunnar Luderer, Joeri Rogelj, Karl Scheifinger, Bas J. van Ruijven, Philipp C. Verpoort, Hamish Beath, Edward A. Byers
+88 more Mark Dekker, Philip Hackstock, Pino Mussak, Zebedee Nicholls, Gabriel Sher, Chris Smith, van Vuuren, Detlef, Jae Edmonds, Taryn Fransen, Niklas Höhne, Kelly Levin, Seth Monteith, Piera Patrizio, Stephanie Roe, Roberto Schaeffer, Massimo Tavoni, Marcus J. Thomson, Saritha Sudharmma Vishwanathan, Gabriel Medeiros Abrahão, Sanchit Saran Agarwal, Lara Aleluia Reis, Gerd Brantes Angelkorte, Anke Frederike Arp, Flavia Aschi, Andrey Lessa Derci Augustynczik, Maro Baka, Luiz Bernardo Baptista, Nico Bauer, Lavinia Baumstark, Felicitas Beier, Christoph Bertram, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Astrid Bos, Carlijn Bos, Valentina Bosetti, Thibault Briera, Elina Brutschin, Matteo Calcaterra, Saswata Chaudhury, Sha Chen, Chen, David Meng-Chuen, Constance Crassier, Michael Crawford, Ryna Yiyun Cui, Robin Lamboll, Da Zhang, Ioannis Dafnomilis, Anteneh G. Dagnachew, Vassilis Daioglou, Francesco Dalla Longa, Harmen Sytze de Boer, Thijs de Lange, Liesbeth de Waal, Michel G.J. den Elzen, Андре Депперманн, Jacques Després, Olivier Dessens, Alice Di Bella, Jan Philipp Dietrich, Fabio A. Diuana, Jonathan Doelman, Tabea Dorndorf, Rebecca Draeger, Laurent Drouet, Siddarth Durga, Jakob Dürrwächter, Oreane Y. Edelenbosch, Johannes Emmerling, Florian Fosse, Dimitris Fragkiadakis, Kostas Fragkiadakis, Panagiotis F. Fragkos, Stefan Frank, Oliver Fricko, Jay Fuhrman, Shinichiro Fujimori, Mel George, Anastasis Giannousakis, Matthew Gidden, Chen Chris Gong, Céline Guivarch A, Mykola I. Gusti, Maria K. Hagen, Mathijs J. H. M. Harmsen, Catrin Harris, Robin Hasse, Peter Havlík, Chenmin He
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Abstract

This repository contains the global timeseries data as well as the data at the R5, R9 and R10 regional aggregation level and meta indicators for the second annual release of the emissions pathways ensemble compiled by the Scenario Compass Initiative. This dataset is an update of the ensemble described in Mitigation benchmarks from the 2025 community update of global emissions pathways. Keywan Riahi, Leon Clarke, Tomoko Hasegawa, Daniel Huppmann, Elmar Kriegler, Gunnar Luderer, Joeri Rogelj, Karl Scheifinger, Bastiaan van Ruijven, Philipp Verpoort Manuscript preprint at https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-8891091/v1 Note that this manuscript is currently in review and a revised version was submitted in August 2026. Please contact the corresponding author for the revised version. A detailed changelog of the dataset release v2.0 compared to earlier releases will be provided later. Modelers and authors of the scenario studies added to the Scenario Compass ensemble since release v1.2 will be added to the list of authors of this dataset following confirmation of these modeling team. Please visit the Scenario Compass for the complete and most-up-to-date version of the database at https://scenariocompass.org. These files contain scenario data associated with unpublished research and a manuscript currently under peer review. The data may be used for scientific research purposes. However, users must strictly adhere to the applicable Nature editorial policies and embargo rules until the manuscript has been formally published. You can download the files via https://download.scenariocompass.org.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Climate Change Policy and Economics Sustainability and Climate Change Governance Climate variability and models

Publication details

Journal / source
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Publication date
16 February 2026
Language
EN
Document type
Dataset