Sustainable aviation fuels: Global production capacity outlook to 2030 & realization gap

In our last paper (The potential scale-up of sustainable aviation fuels production capacity to meet global and EU policy targets, published in Nature Communications, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-66686-9), we explored how far current SAF production falls short of the industry’s ambition. We quantified SAF production capacity by developing the Global SAF Capacity Database, which contains data on companies that produce or plan to produce SAF. This data was sourced from public announcements between 2013 and 2024. Here, we update the SAF global production capacity outlook to 2030, based on new data collected through 2025.