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Abstract
Traditional asset pricing models fail to account for the catastrophic volatility in the current global economic transition. This paper proposes the GIE Framework (P = f + G + E), a non-linear tri-factor model consisting of fundamental credit base (f), geopolitical gradient field (G), and expectational momentum (E). By introducing the Psi (Ψ) Stability Index, we derive a critical state threshold of 2.59, beyond which systemic retracement becomes deterministic.
Fields of Study & Subjects
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
Publication details
- Journal / source
- Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
- Publication date
- 13 February 2026
- Language
- EN