The Beacon Model: Orientation, Navigation, and Meaning Under Uncertainty
Abstract
The Beacon Model is a qualitative, interpretive framework describing how individuals orient themselves under conditions of persistent uncertainty when outcomes are non-comparable, paths are non-replicable, and incentives are ambiguously perceived. The model does not function as an explanatory, predictive, or evaluative system, nor does it propose mechanisms, decision rules, or optimization criteria. Instead, it provides a constrained descriptive stance for articulating orientation, aspiration, and perceived progress without collapsing meaning into outcomes, narrative coherence, or system dynamics. Formal symbolic expressions included in the appendices serve strictly to preserve internal coherence and boundary conditions. They do not imply quantification, computability, empirical extension, or predictive capacity. The Beacon Model contributes a conceptual vocabulary for describing navigation under uncertainty while preserving uncertainty as a defining condition rather than a problem to be resolved.
Fields of Study & Subjects
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
Complex Systems and Decision Making
Leadership
Behavior
and Decision-Making Studies
Publication details
- Journal / source
- Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
- Publication date
- 15 February 2026
- Language
- EN
- Document type
- Preprint