Milk Production Growth and Per Capita Milk Availability in India (1991–2022): A Time-Series Econometric Analysis

This study investigates long-term trends in milk production and per capita availability (PCA) of milk in India from 1991 to 2022 using time-series econometric techniques. Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression models, compound annual growth rates, and diagnostic tests including Durbin-Watson statistics were employed. Results indicate strong structural growth in dairy production and a statistically significant positive relationship between production and availability (R² > 0.98, p < 0.001). The Durbin-Watson statistic suggests moderate positive autocorrelation. The findings confirm the structural transformation of India's dairy sector and its role in food security and rural development.