Extreme Precipitation Risk Dataset - Projected return period and magnitude shift of 100 mm / 24 h extreme rainfall affecting dairy cattle operations – RCP4.5 & RCP8.5 (2041–2070, 2071-2100), Aydın Province
Abstract
This dataset contains the heavy rainfall risk assessment outputs for Aydın Province, Türkiye, developed within the CLIMAAX project. The dataset quantifies projected changes in the return period of a 100 mm / 24-hour extreme precipitation event, which represents a critical rainfall threshold relevant for dairy cattle operations and infrastructure stress. RP_Aydin_threshold_100mm.tif represents the historical baseline return period map for the 1976–2005 period. RP_shift_threshold_100mm_24h_2041_2070_rcp45.tif and RP_shift_threshold_100mm_24h_2041_2070_rcp85.tif contain projected return period values for the 100 mm threshold. The corresponding files diff_RP_2041_2070_rcp45.tif and diff_RP_2041_2070_rcp85.tif provide the absolute change in return period relative to the historical baseline. RP_shift_threshold_100mm_24h_2071_2100_rcp85.tif contains projected return period values and diff_RP_2071_2100_rcp85.tif contains the change relative to the baseline period. Plots.zip contains visualization outputs including baseline return period maps, future projections, difference maps. 02_Heavy_Rainfall_Risk_Assessment.ipynb documents the complete workflow for threshold application, return period recalculation, difference mapping, and figure generation.
Fields of Study & Subjects
Climate variability and models
Climate change impacts on agriculture
Hydrology and Drought Analysis
Publication details
- Journal / source
- Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
- Publication date
- 24 February 2026
- Language
- EN
- Document type
- Dataset