Central Limit Theorems for Random Walks in Random Environments with Memory and Correlated Noises: Theory and Applications to Sequential Decision Making
Abstract
We establish quenched and annealed functional central limit theorems for discrete-time random walks in random environments that exhibit temporal memory and spatially corre- lated noise. The environment is a stationary ergodic process satisfying á-mixing or path-cone mixing conditions. Under uniform ellipticity and moment assumptions, we prove that the scaled walk converges to a Brownian motion with an explicit diÐusion matrix. The proofs combine regeneration techniques adapted to dependent environments, martingale approxi- mation, and novel coupling arguments. We derive non-asymptotic Wasserstein bounds and apply the results to uncertainty quantiÑcation in algorithmic trading and reinforcement learning. A detailed case study on predicting unseen species using Good{Toulmin estima- tors illustrates the practical relevance. Numerical experiments with PyTorch conÑrm the theoretical predictions.
Fields of Study & Subjects
Stochastic processes and statistical mechanics
Probability and Statistical Research
Mathematical Dynamics and Fractals
Publication details
- Journal / source
- Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
- Publication date
- 26 February 2026
- Language
- EN