Tropical Cyclogenesis as an Indeterminacy Collapse: A Trans-Scale Synthesis from Magnetic Chirality to Underlying Principles

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Authors: Daniel Avilés Hurtado
Cited by: 0

Abstract

Statistical correlations between geomagnetic activity and tropical cyclone behavior present a persistent enigma. [Observed] Traditional fluidthermodynamic models lack a mechanism for such weak, non-local coupling . [Proposed] We propose a trans-scale framework that reinterprets cyclogenesis not as a linear instability, but as a sudden collapse of configurational indeterminacy, guided by the universal Drain Vortex Principle (Avilés Hurtado, 2026, in press) . [Speculative] Within this collapse, rapid variations in local magnetic chirality are hypothesized to act as a chiral selector, biasing the direction and timing of vortex organization . This narrative integrates the geometric limits of Gradient Indeterminacy Avilés Hurtado (2026), the coherence logic of Multilevel Recursive Coherence (Avilés Hurtado, 2026), and the ontological foundation of the Underlying Properties Hypothesis Avilés Hurtado (2026). The result is a testable, speculative synthesis that transforms a meteorological puzzle into a case study of universal organizational principles. As a real-time application of the framework, a speculative prediction is included regarding the ongoing Invest 9X system in the South Indian Ocean, interacting with an M-class coronal mass ejection, with an estimated 30–50% probability of non-linear intensification within 12–24 hours of publication

Fields of Study & Subjects

Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations Fluid Dynamics and Turbulent Flows

Publication details

Journal / source
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Publication date
27 February 2026
Language
EN
Document type
Preprint