ASSESSMENT AND FORECASTING OF SMALL BUSINESS ENTITIES' ACTIVITIES IN ENSURING REGIONAL FOOD SECURITY BASED ON ECONOMETRIC MODELS

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) 2026 Dataset Open access

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Authors: Jumanazarov Oserbay Seytmuratovich, Rakhimboev Muzaffar, Kozbakov Jasulan, Azirbaev Jalgasbay Angsatbay Uli
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18813362
Cited by: 0

Abstract

This research evaluates small business contributions to regional food security using econometric models. SMEs enhance all four food security pillars through short supply chains and economic multipliers. Regression analysis shows SME density explains 25-40% variance in food access; SEM reveals supply chain resilience pathways. ARIMA/VAR and machine learning models provide 7-month forecasts, identifying SME market share as top stability predictor. Policy thresholds: >15% SME density signals robust security.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Agricultural Development and Policies Food Security and Socioeconomic Dynamics Agriculture Market Analysis Ukraine

Publication details

Journal / source
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Publication date
28 February 2026
Language
EN
Document type
Dataset