A Deterministic Limit for Structural Failures: Deriving Critical Thresholds and Real-Time Monitoring of Catastrophic Events in Engineering Systems

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Authors: John Drayton
Cited by: 0

Abstract

This paper introduces a deterministic framework for predicting catastrophic structural failure in load-bearing materials and rotating systems. Unlike traditional probabilistic models, this approach derives exact spatial thresholds—critical crack tip radii, whirl radii, and phase transition thresholds—based on material toughness, membrane stiffness, and localized defect dynamics. The paper also proposes a novel real-time monitoring system using distributed acoustic emission sensors, fiber optic strain sensors, and eddy current probes to calculate and predict critical failure thresholds dynamically, enabling proactive structural integrity measures in aerospace, marine, and industrial applications.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Fatigue and fracture mechanics Structural Health Monitoring Techniques Structural Integrity and Reliability Analysis

Publication details

Journal / source
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Publication date
1 March 2026
Language
EN