Climate Tipping Network Pe: Superlinear Cascade Amplification in Coupled Earth System Void Dynamics

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Authors: Anthony W. Eckert
Cited by: 0

Abstract

Applies the Void Framework's network Pe formulation to 16 climate tipping elements using the Armstrong McKay (2022) coupling matrix. Individual Pe scores for each tipping element (O = feedback opacity, R = amplification strength, α = constraint integrity). Network Pe incorporates coupling κ between elements. K11 (confirmed survived) predicts: at coupling strengths κ ≥ 0.15, individual Pe sums fail as predictors — network Pe dominates. Armstrong McKay reports average coupling 0.4–0.6, well above the K11 threshold. Paper validates against 8 paleoclimate cascade events and identifies the three highest-risk modern cascade routes by network Pe topology.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Ecosystem dynamics and resilience Climate variability and models Earth Systems and Cosmic Evolution

Publication details

Journal / source
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Publication date
3 March 2026
Language
EN
Document type
Preprint