PIWA Coefficient v1.0-BETA: Petro-Economic Predictor for Conflict Cessation
Abstract
Proprietary predictive algorithm utilizing New Zealand fuel price data (Gull NZ, MBIE) and global Brent crude indicators (EIA) to forecast Iran conflict resolution horizons. Implements the Resource Balance Mechanism (RBM) hypothesis through a critical threshold coefficient (τ = 3.50 NZD/L). Open-source release includes PHP/Python implementation with ethical public-data scraping protocols.
Fields of Study & Subjects
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Natural Resources and Economic Development
Forecasting Techniques and Applications
Publication details
- Journal / source
- Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
- Publication date
- 11 March 2026
- Language
- EN