The Algorithm That Watches the World Fall Apart: World Stability Intelligence and AI-Powered Geopolitical Risk Monitoring Across 87 Nations
Abstract
This article describes the development and deployment of the World Stability Intelligence (WSI) system — a machine learning-driven geopolitical risk monitoring platform that continuously tracks 87 countries across three risk dimensions: war risk (45%), political risk (35%), and economic risk (20%). Drawing on an ML-enhanced heuristic prediction framework (HPF-P), the system generates normalized stability scores mapped to five categories from Stable to Critical. This work discusses the methodology, current findings, and the epistemic limits of AI-based political forecasting, while making the research tools and API publicly available for researchers, journalists, and policymakers.
Fields of Study & Subjects
Political Conflict and Governance
Ethics and Social Impacts of AI
International Relations and Foreign Policy
Publication details
- Journal / source
- Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
- Publication date
- 11 March 2026
- Language
- EN