WERO: A Satellite-Fed Multi-Module Wildfire Emergency Response Orchestration Framework for Real-Time Evacuation Routing, Ground Unit Coordination, and Aerial Resource Management

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Authors: Ayush Singh
Cited by: 0

Abstract

Current wildfire evacuation practice relies on commander intuition, static pre-planned routes, and verbal radio updates — none of which account adequately for the dynamic, nonlinear spread behaviour of active wildfire. A route safe at the moment of evacuation order may be fatally compromised within 15–30 minutes as the fire perimeter advances. This paper proposes WERO (Wildfire Emergency Response Orchestrator), a ten-module satellite-fed incident coordination framework. WERO fuses thermal detection data from any satellite agency (NASA FIRMS, ESA Copernicus, JAXA Himawari) into a continuously updated composite fire perimeter, projects spread at 15, 30, and 60-minute horizons using the Rothermel model calibrated by Gaussian Process learning, and generates ranked evacuation route alternatives and ground unit assignments within 16 seconds of each satellite update. A UAV gap-fill layer provides sub-2-minute perimeter updates when satellite coverage is degraded by smoke or outage. Human Incident Commander authority is mandatory at every output stage. The paper provides full satellite latency analysis, fusion weighting algorithm, computational runtime analysis (A* routing under 5 seconds for 100,000-node networks), evacuation behavioural compliance modelling, ICS/NIMS integration analysis, and retrospective case studies on the 2018 Camp Fire and 2019–20 Black Summer. This is a conceptual framework; operational deployment requires tabletop exercise validation and jurisdictional regulatory engagement.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Disaster Management and Resilience Facility Location and Emergency Management Safety and Risk Management

Publication details

Journal / source
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Publication date
15 March 2026
Language
EN
Document type
Preprint