Codebase for Historically grounded interpretations of well-below 2C avoiding accidental backsliding

This collection of notebooks produces the figures and tables in the paper "Historically grounded interpretations of well-below 2C avoiding accidental backsliding". It requires two files to be put into the "input" folder, AR6_Scenarios_Database_metadata_indicators_v1.1.xlsx, which can be downloaded from https://data.ene.iiasa.ac.at/ar6/ and iamc15_scenario_data_all_regions_r2.0.xlsx, which can be downloaded from https://data.ene.iiasa.ac.at/iamc-1.5c-explorer/. The notebooks can then be run in any order. SketchProbabilityDistributions.ipynb produces the sketches, MapExceedanceProbToMedianWarming.ipynb produces the numerical results in the paper. Dependencies: Tested on python 3.7.11. Primary dependencies are: pyam-iamc>=1.9.0 matplotlib-label-lines>=0.7.0 scipy>=1.10.1