Sealed forward prediction: the dark-energy equation of state is exactly w = −1 (UCT program)

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Authors: Gabriel Steiger
Cited by: 4
References: 2

Abstract

WHAT BECOMES PUBLIC IN THIS DEPOSIT, EXACTLY: the prediction below, the falsification criterion, and SHA-256 hash commitments. No mechanism, no derivation, and no theory content are disclosed; the derivation chain is hash-committed and held privately for disclosure at resolution. SEALED FORWARD PREDICTION (UCT program, deposited 2026-06-12, prior to any DESI DR3 / Euclid dark-energy release) THE INTRINSIC DARK-ENERGY EQUATION OF STATE IS w = -1 EXACTLY (w0 = -1, wa = 0). The evolving-dark-energy preference reported in DESI DR2 (w0 > -1, wa < 0; 2.8-4.2 sigma depending on data combination, arXiv:2503.14738) WILL NOT SURVIVE as a detection of intrinsic vacuum evolution -- it will dissolve with improved data and/or systematics treatment. FALSIFICATION CRITERION (registered): a confirmed detection (>= 5 sigma, robust across supernova samples) of intrinsic dark-energy evolution in the late universe falsifies the underlying mechanism, and the depositor commits to publishing that failure with the same prominence as any success, as previously done (DOI 10.5281/zenodo.20651313). This prediction is derived, not retrofitted: it follows from a mechanism whose complete derivation chain (11 result documents, 15 machine scripts with outputs) is hash-committed below and held privately for disclosure at resolution. The prediction is conditional on the program's stated premises; the seal tests the framework. SHA-256 COMMITMENTS: full chain bundle (zip): 1d0191c298cb076d97b380d821b8e4975cc5169105bc0f147d7103aeae30c477 prediction document: b405e42b7d37042ac2a9184f5aafd3d7b828d88f7ba8227524d0ca657b21d076 confrontation document: a7ef872162186870fdd8127067624f5dfc268194bc42a4e0052154ccd8a7cacb machine script (prediction): 5cddfa3a6336f6dd6250cac6a93eeb313541656e287a324c579e23264d073299 machine script (confrontation): a2ec543736f497f5459d7d190395c738b2cabf9b8f4dd846ca85e181242c41d2 33-file manifest: c99008ef60e0f30a8c0920ca972aa73c46e09962a996ebafc1375fb60ffc3efb Author: Gabriel Steiger. Related deposits: 10.5281/zenodo.20626679 (seal), 10.5281/zenodo.20651313 (resolution, full disclosure).

Fields of Study & Subjects

Gamma-ray bursts and supernovae Computational Physics and Python Applications Cosmology and Gravitation Theories

Publication details

Journal / source
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Publication date
12 June 2026