AAgWa Crop Production Forecasts Briefs No. 332

T he crop production forecasts brief series by AKADEMIYA2063's Africa Agriculture Watch (AAgWa) aims to provide more accurate and timely data on harvests and yields for 11 major crops across nearly 50African countries.The timeliness, wide availability, and easy access to this type of data will allow stakeholders across the value chain to better plan and execute policy and business actions more efficiently.The data published in the briefs are generated through the Africa Crop Production (AfCP) model, an Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based model applied to remotely sensed geo-biophysical data to produce estimates at pixel as well as administrative levels as early as the beginning of each growing season.In Brief 332, we provide forecasts on maize production in Mozambique.In 2026, maize production in Mozambique is projected to reach 1,873,183 metric tons (MT), indicating a 2% increase over 2025 production levels.The highest maize producers are expected to be Milange (Zambezia), Moatize (Tete), Angónia (Tete), Nhamatanda (Sofala), and Chókwè (Gaza), with production estimated at 110,726 MT, 58,408 MT, 57,544 MT, 51,816 MT, and 50,947 MT, respectively.In contrast, lower production values are observed in Mocimboa da Praia (Cabo Delgado), Inhassunge (Zambezia), Palma (Cabo Delgado), Mueda (Cabo Delgado), and Meluco (Cabo Delgado) with production of 460 MT, 356 MT, 316 MT, 235 MT, and 133 MT, respectively.Compared to 2025, the most significant maize production increases in 2026 are expected in districts such as Milange (Zambezia), Moatize (Tete), Angónia (Tete), Chókwè (Gaza), and Gorongosa (Sofala), with differences of 6,302 MT, 3,501 MT, 3,341 MT, 3,305 MT, and 2,584 MT, respectively.These correspond to changes of 6%, 6%, 6%, 7%, and 6%.