AAgWa Crop Production Forecasts Briefs No. 334

T he crop production forecasts brief series by AKADEMIYA2063's Africa Agriculture Watch (AAgWa) aims to provide more accurate and timely data on harvests and yields for 11 major crops across nearly 50African countries.The timeliness, wide availability, and easy access to this type of data will allow stakeholders across the value chain to better plan and execute policy and business actions more efficiently.The data published in the briefs are generated through the Africa Crop Production (AfCP) model, an Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based model applied to remotely sensed geo-biophysical data to produce estimates at pixel as well as administrative levels as early as the beginning of each growing season.In Brief 334, we provide forecasts on rice production in Angola.In 2026, rice production in Angola is projected to reach 12,512 metric tons (MT), indicating a 1% increase over 2025 production levels.The highest rice producers are expected to be Catabola (Bié), Muconda (Lunda Sul), Saurimo (Lunda Sul), Lumbala-Nguimbo (Moxico), and Moxico (Moxico), with production levels estimated at 708 MT, 678 MT, 597 MT, 579 MT, and 525 MT.In contrast, lower production values are observed in Cuimba (Zaire), Samba Cajú (Cuanza Norte), Cazengo (Cuanza Norte), Cambambe (Cuanza Norte), and Rivungo (Cuando Cubango) with production of 3 MT, 2 MT, 2 MT, 2 MT, and 2 MT, respectively.Compared to 2025, the most significant rice production increases in 2026 are expected in districts such as Muconda (Lunda Sul), Saurimo (Lunda Sul), Quimbele (Uíge), Lucapa (Lunda Norte), and Maquela do Zombo (Uíge), with differences of 95 MT, 60 MT, 47 MT, 42 MT, and 41 MT, respectively.These correspond to changes of 16%, 11%, 23%, 14%, and 19%.