AAgWa Crop Production Forecasts Briefs No. 340

T he crop production forecasts brief series by AKADEMIYA2063's Africa Agriculture Watch (AAgWa) aims to provide more accurate and timely data on harvests and yields for 11 major crops across nearly 50African countries.The timeliness, wide availability, and easy access to this type of data will allow stakeholders across the value chain to better plan and execute policy and business actions more efficiently.The data published in the briefs are generated through the Africa Crop Production (AfCP) model, an Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based model applied to remotely sensed geo-biophysical data to produce estimates at pixel as well as administrative levels as early as the beginning of each growing season.In Brief 340, we provide forecasts on millet production in Kenya.In 2026, millet production in Kenya is projected to reach 126,194 metric tons (MT), indicating a 1% increase over 2025 production levels.The highest millet producers are expected to be Kitui South (Kitui), Kitui Rural (Kitui), Borabu (Nyamira), Tharaka (Tharaka-Nithi), and Narok West (Narok), with production levels estimated at 6,857 MT, 6,587 MT, 5,700 MT, 4,035 MT, and 3,773 MT, respectively.In contrast, lower production values are observed in Kieni (Nyeri), Roysambu (Nairobi), Embakasi South (Nairobi), Ndaragwa (Nyandarua), and Embakasi East (Nairobi), with production of 36 MT, 36 MT, 36 MT, 35 MT, and 35 MT, respectively Compared to 2025, the most significant millet production increases in 2026 are expected in districts such as Narok West (Narok), Narok North (Narok), Nyatike (Migori), Chepalungu (Bomet), and Narok South (Narok), with differences of 571 MT, 372 MT, 156 MT, 152 MT, and 115 MT, respectively.These correspond to changes of 18%, 30%, 12%, 12%, and 5%.