AAgWa Crop Production Forecasts Briefs No. 353

T he crop production forecasts brief series by AKADEMIYA2063's Africa Agriculture Watch (AAgWa) aims to provide more accurate and timely data on harvests and yields for 11 major crops across nearly 50African countries.The timeliness, wide availability, and ease of access to this type of data will enable stakeholders across the value chain to plan and execute policy and business actions more efficiently.The data published in the briefs are generated through the Africa Crop Production (AfCP) model, an Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based model applied to remotely sensed geo-biophysical data to produce estimates at pixel as well as administrative levels as early as the beginning of each growing season.In Brief 353, we provide forecasts on sorghum production in Mozambique.In 2026, sorghum production in Mozambique is projected to reach 158,718 metric tons (MT), indicating a 1% increase over 2025 production levels.The Highest sorghum producers are expected to be Nhamatanda (Sofala), Changara (Tete), Morrumbala (Zambezia), Maringue (Sofala), and Chiuta (Tete), with production estimated at 11,040 MT, 9,128 MT, 6,294 MT, 5,183 MT, and 4,996 MT, respectively.In contrast, lower production values are observed in Marracuene (Maputo), Tambara (Manica), Funhalouro (Inhambane), Gurue (Zambezia), and Macossa (Manica), with production of 38 MT, 26 MT, 15 MT, 14 MT, and 8 MT, respectively.Compared to 2025, the most significant sorghum production increases in 2026 are expected in districts such as Nhamatanda (Sofala), Changara (Tete), Maringue (Sofala), Morrumbala (Zambezia), and Chiuta (Tete), with differences of 233 MT, 193 MT, 109 MT, 90 MT, and 82 MT, respectively.These correspond to changes of 2%, 2%, 2%, 1%, and 2%.*Associate Scientist, Department of Data Intelligence and Governance, AKADEMIYA2063 **Senior Associate Scientist, Department of Data Intelligence and Governance, AKADEMIYA2063 MT (Metric tons): 1 MT is equivalent to 1,000 kilograms.